Elster's World

Tuesday, January 02, 2007

Better Late Than Never

Congratulations to the New York Jets who took care of business on Sunday, beating the terrible Oakland Raiders to advance to the playoffs under first year head coach Eric Mangini – all after finishing with a horrendous 4-12 record last season.

Lest I forget, lets also acknowledge the now defunct Joe – who predicted the Jets would make the playoffs (or at least could make the playoffs) and predicted that if healthy, Chad Pennington could be effective despite his 2 shoulder surgeries)

I was also glad that the Jets face the New England Patriots in the Wild Card game this Sunday. While one could argue that Indianapolis was a better matchup (can’t stop the run, Jets owe Peyton Manning a little something for his statements after the Colt win earlier this season), the fact of the matter is the Jets are not a quick scoring, big play team and could easily get routed by the Colts. The Patriots on the other hand are a plodding, keep it close team that waits for the other team to make a mistake then pounces. These Jets don’t make too many mistakes though and can pull the upset.

Lets also not forget the dog and pony show that will surround Mangini and the coach of the Patriots. The coach of the Patriots has acted utterly classlessly throughout the season and, really, since Mangini took the Jets coaching job. While the coach of the Patriots has had kind words for Nick Saban, Romeo Crennel, Charlie Weiss and others, he has refused to even acknowledge Mangini by name. The whole thing is so silly that it takes away from the players focus which should really be beating each other on Sunday.

Here’s why I think the Jets can beat the Pats on Sunday:

- Lack of a playmaker – The Pats really don’t have great weapons for super QB Tom Brady to throw to. Their offense is more about ball control than quick striking and the Jets defense has really gotten much better as the year progressed.

- Their best player on the defense may be hurt – Rodney Harrison, intimidator at safety, hurt his knee in the season finale and may miss the Jet game. The entire Pats defense is weaker with him not going. I’m sure Laverneous Coles is especially thankful considering the way he’s been beaten up the last few games.

- They did it once they can do it again – The Jets beat the Pats earlier this season in a huge, must win type atmosphere and their season on the line. In fact, it was probably that game which propelled the Jets to the playoffs.

- Hanging Chad – Chad Pennington has been fantastic for the Jets this season. His intelligence really shines through in Brian Schottenheimer’s schemes. Perhaps he can’t wing the ball on a rope 30 yards downfield, but he can manage a game and cut down on mistakes like few others.

- J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets de-de-defense – The ORIGINAL J-e-t-s chant focused on defense. And as the season has gone by, the Jets defense has really responded to the new scheme. Kerry Rhodes played like a pro-bowler all season and was in fact jobbed by the voters. And after slow starts, the linebackers, secondary and line have all played much better. They need to get better against the run (or it’ll be a long day) but if they do, they can stop a punchless Pat offense.

- The coach of the Patriots factor – Simply put, the players have really responded to Mangini – who has developed from an emotionless, coach of the Patriots Clone to a person with his own personality. The March of The Penguins video and the way he dealt with Pennington after his father got sick really endeared him to his team. I think they will have a little something extra for the coach of the Patriots on Sunday.

WILL the Jets win? I don’t know. But CAN they win? Absolutely. I can see a 13-10 type , going down to the last play type game.

All we can do is wait to see how it plays out.

17 Comments:

  • "The ORIGINAL J-e-t-s chant focused on defense"

    Where did you come up with that? I'm pretty sure you're wrong, and that the chant originated in the early-mid 70's and had nothing particularly to do with defense.

    Otherwise, I disagree with most of what you write, but hope your analysis is correct.

    By Blogger Joe Schick, at 5:07 PM  

  • I specifically remember the chant from my youth being "J E T S Jets Jets Jets de-de-de fense fense fense"

    And I'm sorry to hear your being so negative about the game Sunday. I have a half decent feeling...

    By Blogger Elster, at 8:40 PM  

  • "I specifically remember the chant from my youth being "J E T S Jets Jets Jets de-de-de fense fense fense"

    I don't think so. Your memory is inaccurate. And the chant probably predates your birth.

    "I'm sorry to hear your being so negative about the game Sunday. I have a half decent feeling..."

    I hope you're right. I think the Jets have little chance.

    By Blogger Joe Schick, at 10:09 PM  

  • Why? The Jets beat the Pats in Foxboro this season - and they are a better team now than they were then. Also, the Pats best defensive player is out. I'm surprised at you.

    I'm not predictinjg a Jets victory, but it's certainly not a stretch to see them winning this game. "Little chance" seems a bot much.

    Is this some sort of reverse jinx you are trying?

    By Blogger Elster, at 9:16 AM  

  • The Patriots have a better QB, a better running game, are playing at home, have been excellent in the playoffs, and have great coaching. They've lost to the Jets so won't get caught surprised. NE is not known for its offense, but scored 40 points on Sunday. Even if Harrison is out, I don't think he's such a huge factor. On the Jets side, Dyson is out and Coles is very banged up.

    There's no reverse jinx at play. I've been optimistic all season, but I'm now mourning the end to the Jets season.

    I give them a 20 percent chance to win.

    It's easy to equivocate and say "I'm not predicting a Jets victory, but it's certainly not a stretch to see them winning this game."

    By Blogger Joe Schick, at 9:42 AM  

  • I'm simply laying out why i think they can win. I'd give Pats 60/40 chance of victory, for many of the same reasons you mentioned - but my point was that I think the Chargers or Raven would definately win - Jets have a much better chance against the pats than those 2 teams.

    By Blogger Elster, at 12:20 PM  

  • Marty S is always beatable in the playoffs.

    By Blogger Joe Schick, at 12:32 PM  

  • The Jets cannot stop Tomlinson - he's like an automatic 27 carries, 175 yards and three tds against that defense. Not even Marty S can screw that up.

    And against the Ravens - the jets would be looking for a new QB for next season after Pennington's arm falls off.

    By Blogger Elster, at 12:45 PM  

  • Then explain how Tomlinson only rushed for 80 yards in the Jets 2004 playoff victory? Aside from Jason Ferguson, the Jets defense was not better then.

    With Marty anything is possible.

    In any event we agree that the Jets will lose on Sunday.

    By Blogger Joe Schick, at 2:34 PM  

  • I am a Raider fan. What a lousy season. Feh.

    By Blogger Jack's Shack, at 3:37 AM  

  • Jack - your team was an embarrasment and your coach is fodder for unintentional comedy

    By Blogger Elster, at 9:13 AM  

  • Ahem. Go Jets go.

    By Blogger Sara, at 8:24 PM  

  • How can you not be a Raider fan jack? They have the cutest clothes and accessories!

    Please, no one throw anything at me, it's been far too long since I commented here and far too long since he posted anything other than sports. I had to chime in SOMEWHERE!

    By Blogger Sara with NO H, at 10:23 PM  

  • Too sad about the Jets' elimination to post?

    By Blogger Jewboy, at 8:57 PM  

  • Elster has stopped posting. Why? Is he following Joe into retirement?

    By Blogger Jewboy, at 9:19 PM  

  • At least I respond to comments from my old blog friends.

    By Blogger Joe Schick, at 9:47 AM  

  • Yea yea yea - there haven't been any new comments to respond to recently.

    The truth is that it looks like I AM retiring - at least from this blog - tho I'm giving myself time awaw to make sure.

    By Blogger Elster, at 11:46 AM  

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