Elster's World

Tuesday, April 18, 2006

Draft Madness

The closer we get to the upcoming NFL draft, the muddier the waters become. Are the Texans seriously considering moving down? Would the Saints really take Matt Leinert at number 2 in light of the fact that they spent a mint on Drew Brees? What will the Titans do at three? All of this, of course, effects how the Jets use their own choice (the #4 pick). Will they trade up? Trade down? Take a quarterback? An offensive lineman? Is AJ Hawk in play?

The problem is, we have reached the point where the only rule that applies is that of Agent Mulder from The X-Files. "Trust No One". Everyone is lying to gain an edge. When the Saints finish meeting with Matt Leinert this week, they will tell anyone who will listen that they think he might very well be the guy at number 2, despite the Bees signing. But as Peter King wrote yesterday, no team in the league selects a QB after signing one to a huge deal. It just doesn't happen. The Saints will not commit huge money to two people at the same position.

And really, what is to be gained from telling the truth anyway? What kind of general manager or coach would want to give away intelligence which, in the wrong hands, could be used against them? A bad general manager or coach, that's who. The key to the whole operation is secrecy, misdirection and subterfuge.

So what will the Jets do with the number four pick? I have absolutely no idea. And that is a very good thing. Because if I knew that, say, the Jets were dying for Vince Young at four, then the raiders know it too. Then the next thing I know, the Raiders have made a draft day trade with the Titans and they are sitting at three and the Commissioner is saying "with the third pick in the draft, the Raiders have selected Vince Young from the University of Texas" and Mike Tannenbaum is sticking a fork in his right eye. And in a panic move, the Jets quickly respond by trading the number four pick to Penn State for the rights to Blair Thomas' next child.

At the end of the day, the Jets can do a lot with their position. Trade up, trade down stay and pick. And there are a number of external actors not yet in play. WILL the Raiders move up to three to get a QB? What about another team? Will the Saints bail on the number 2 pick to move down? Which QB does Tennessee really want? Internally, is the Tannebaum/Mangini braintrust over matched in year one? Does the Pennington/Ramsey duo have enough to convince management that they don't need another QB in the mix and that the Jets could take D' Ferguson at 4 or maybe move down a few spots for AJ Hawk or Winston Justice?

Secrecy, misdirection and subterfuge. It runs deep. In fact, maybe I know exactly what the Jets will do on draft day but I simply can't tell you.

At the end of the day, the Jets has four picks in the top 100 and then another at 103. They have a number of holes to fill (though a couple of nice free agent signings has filled a few holes at least - corner and center to be exact) and need this to be a grand slam. The really really need to nail this draft. And all negative energy aside, the Jets faithful are praying that they do.

Otherwise, all we are left with are those muddy waters.

4 Comments:

  • Elster, Elster, Elster,

    What will we do with you?

    First, you write: "What kind of general manager or coach would want to give away intelligence which, in the wrong hands, could be used against them? A bad general manager or coach, that's who. The key to the whole operation is secrecy, misdirection and subterfuge."

    Agreed... but you were the guy who was shocked, shocked!, that Herm Edwards lied in 2004 when he said that Chad Pennington just had a minor shoulder injury.

    2. "At the end of the day, the Jets has four picks in the top 100 and then another at 103."

    Did I miss something? The Jets have five picks in the top 100, and then a sixth at 103.

    By Blogger Joe Schick, at 2:03 PM  

  • My goodness Joe - you are nitpicky and difficult. Yes, I did feel lied to about the injury. I still don't think it's the same thing, though I admit that I am probably splitting hairs.

    2 - jeez, so I was off by one. Big deal.

    By Blogger Elster, at 2:23 PM  

  • I am just trying to keep you honest. So you'd prefer that Herm told you and the world: "Chad's hurt real bad. Shoulder's not doin too good. Gonna have surgery after the season, real major surgery. Can't throw the ball downfield." Instead, in one of his finest performances, Herm lied, and the Jets managed to beat Houston and Seattle with Chad at QB, and then San Diego (and almost Pittsburgh) in the playoffs.

    By Blogger Joe Schick, at 2:27 PM  

  • In terms of the Team, this was clearly the right move. For some reason, lying about the injury just hurt me because of Pennington. I don't care about Edawards or the team lying, but Pennington always struck me as a straight shooter. Still if he didn't go along it would have been silly. I get that. But even so, it smarted.

    By Blogger Elster, at 2:35 PM  

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